An Inverted Yield Curve Did Not Always Precede Recessions

I made a post before how an inversion of the yield curve has preceded the last 8 recessions in the US. Recently, I came across this interesting chart on Twitter which shows the yield curve spread for US treasuries with a maturity of 3 month and 10 year from the last 100 years.

This chart shows that yield curve inversions didn’t happen between the 1930’s and 1960’s before a recession happend.

Long Term Yield Curve Inversion Chart
Long Term Yield Curve Inversion Chart

Currently the US 3 month – 10 year yield curve is inverted.

Yield Curve Inversion 3 month - 10 year spread
Yield Curve Inversion 3 month – 10 year spread

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